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2011年4月19日星期二

With the United States in the role of support, Libya of the NATO mission ' to go in circles - Los Angeles Times

FighterA jet fighter anti-Government traverse Street Tripoli in clashes with forces loyal to Muammar al-Gaddafi in central Misurata, the only city in the West of the Libya which remains in the control of the rebels. (Odd Andersen / AFP/Getty Images)Reports from Washington and Benghazi in Libya - a month ago in Libya, loyal to Muammar al-Gaddafi troops advancing on the opposition-held areas, tens of thousands of civilians feared for their lives, and rebel forces are appeared in disarray with little chance of driving Kadafi of the pouvoir.

After four weeks and hundreds of air strikes by the United States and their NATO allies, in many ways little has changed.

Tanks and artillery of the Al-Gaddafi is more threatening the capital of a de facto rebels of Benghazi in eastern Libya, and warplanes Kadafi and combat helicopters are based. But disorganized rebel forces are still out sighted and outnumbered by the Libyan army units, who, with their Chief, showed no sign to surrender.

On the contrary, al-Gaddafi has intensified its counter-offensive these days. Grad mounted on truck rockets to bomb residential areas of Misurata, the only city in the West of the Libya still in the hands of the rebels and rights groups of the military accused man of Kadafi of the use of cluster bombs.

"We precipitate in this without a plan," said David Barno, a former army General who commanded once United States and NATO forces in Afghanistan. "Now, we are in the Middle, go in circles."

The failure of the air campaign to force the expulsion of the Al-Gaddafi, or even to stop his army of bombing of civilians and to recapture the cities held rebel, pose a dilemma Crescent for President Obama and other NATO leaders: what future?

In private, the American authorities acknowledge that some of their assumptions until they intervened in the Libyan conflict may have been defective. Among them was the notion that only air power degrade military of the Al-Gaddafi to the point where it would be obliged to put an end to its attacks, and that the United States could leave the air strikes mainly to Britain combat aircraftFrance and other European countries.

French President Nicolas Sarkozy and British Prime Minister David Cameron, who leads the NATO to launch air campaign in Libya, said last week that the alliance had to intensify its attacks to the mandate of the United Nations to protect civilians. But win agreement to back intervention could further divide the alliance already evil split.

The US army moved in a supporting role earlier this month, and Obama gave no indication that it will send U.S. aircraft in combat missions, a fortiori again reconsider his promise not to use troops to the ground in Libya.

His decision to intervene in the Libya was not popular at the Pentagon, where the Secretary of Defense Robert M. Gates and top uniformed officers showed little interest in taking a major role in the conflict, while they are engaged in the war in Afghanistan. Obama has successfully overcome the objections of his advisors by promising to keep the role of the United States limited.

If the most powerful member of the alliance is not prepared to degenerate, a few other members will be eager to do so.

But the longest Kadafi brandishes under the NATO attacks, the pressure more there will be in the Washington capitals and European deal with the escalation of the military campaign, arming the rebels or ratchet sanctions and other indirect measures, in the hope of forcing the power.

Admiral James Stavridis, the American commander of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization has asked the NATO members for additional attack aircraft - a request that the American authorities have clearly that other members of the alliance will have to meet.

Decision of the Obama to limit the military role of the United States left NATO without A - 10 Thunderbolt II or combat AC - 130 spectrum, we had U.S. designed for accurate and close to the ground troops air support attacks against targets on the ground.

The United States allows A-10 and other aircraft to strike pending in cases of emergency. But bring the aircraft in the fight is not the review, a NATO officer said.

However, the air campaign has clearly weakened army of Kadafi. Allied air strikes have destroyed about 40% of equipment and headquarters military installations Libya, according to a senior U.S. military officer.

With an area of maritime exclusion preventing Kadafi supply sea, there are also signs that his Government is struggling to provide ammunition, transportation and food to the troops on the ground. They include the 32nd Brigade, an elite unit headed by the Al-Gaddafi more young sons, Khamis and the main target of the air strikes, said the U.S. official.

The Al-Gaddafi to stay in power long term prospects are not good, insist the United States authorities. They cite the defection of several assistants top of the page, including its former head of the information and the loss of billions of dollars in oil revenues that he used only once to help ensure the loyalty in a tribal society.

But these gains have not changed the balance of military power.


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2011年4月12日星期二

Afghan training mission risk of losses: report

Plan of the Canada to extend Afghanistan mission in three years in a training support role involves high risks and a low chance of success, according to a report published Monday.

Last November, Prime Minister Stephen Harper announced that Canadian Forces would act in a role of training combat safer until 2014.

But according to the report by the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives and the Rideau Institute soldiers are likely to be killed or injured attempting a task that is doomed to failure.

According to analysts Michael Byers and Stewart Webb, always training, to pose hazards, and the Taliban have increasingly targeted training facilities all in infiltrating the Afghan army and police.

The report cites dozens of incidents in which staff with the International Security Assistance Force NATO attacked and killed by infiltrators among the Afghan army and police.

In the past six months:

On 29 November, an Afghan police officer killed six of its American trainers in the East of the Afghanistan. The Taliban claimed that he had been a sleeper agent.January 20, an Afghan soldier shot and killed two Italian soldiers the military base.February 18, an Afghan soldier three German soldiers wounded six others on a base in the province of Baghlan.Le 4 April, an Afghan border police officer killed two American trainers within a compound in the North of Faryab province.

The report explains that widespread illiteracy and the high rates of desertion among Afghan soldiers and police and a worsening of security in the country as a whole would condemn the effort to fail.

Even if training efforts are successful to some extent, the potential implosion of "the most corrupt and inefficient Karzai Government" leaves open the question of what sort of the scheme of these soldiers and police would, according to the report.

"Although they admit it, Western Governments more have already given up on the country," said co-author of the report Byers. "The mission of training is clearly an exit strategy that more Canadians will cost their lives".

The decision to extend the mission in Afghanistan beyond 2011 was made without a debate in Parliament, with the consent of the Liberal Opposition. Harper argued that an extension of the mission in a non-combatant role, no parliamentary vote was necessary.

"When we are simply talking about the technical missions or training, I think this is something the Executive can do on its own," said Harper.

Canadian trainers will remain "inside the wire," at their base, Harper said, but the report suggests that the need to provide training on the ground and security for databases will inevitably lead in "mission creep" and the need to engage in fighting with insurgents.

The report argues that attempts to train the Afghan army and police to take over security are a facade designed to facilitate an exit "with honour."

"Which raises the question," according to the report. "Why should Canadian soldiers suffer more victims in a prolonged mission"training", if the decision to abandon the Afghanistan to its fate has already been made."

The authors of the report concern the public debate on the mission in Afghanistan was set aside by the elections.

"Canadians must be aware of the risks of this mission," said Webb.

The Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives described himself as an independent, non-partisan Research Institute, concerned with social, economic and environmental justice issues.

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